Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004460 0.004696 0.004938 0.005207 0.005496 0.005798 0.006140
2025-09-28 0.003937 0.004271 0.004628 0.005042 0.005508 0.006022 0.006631
2025-10-05 0.003708 0.004104 0.004541 0.005063 0.005672 0.006366 0.007223
2025-10-12 0.003561 0.004007 0.004510 0.005126 0.005866 0.006735 0.007847
2025-10-19 0.003389 0.003863 0.004409 0.005091 0.005930 0.006941 0.008273
2025-10-26 0.003246 0.003743 0.004325 0.005064 0.005994 0.007140 0.008692
2025-11-02 0.003116 0.003629 0.004239 0.005026 0.006035 0.007306 0.009070
2025-11-09 0.003062 0.003604 0.004256 0.005114 0.006235 0.007680 0.009741
2025-11-16 0.002954 0.003505 0.004177 0.005073 0.006262 0.007824 0.010103
2025-11-23 0.002871 0.003433 0.004127 0.005064 0.006329 0.008021 0.010547
2025-11-30 0.002765 0.003328 0.004030 0.004989 0.006299 0.008082 0.010794
2025-12-07 0.002673 0.003237 0.003946 0.004926 0.006283 0.008157 0.011062
2025-12-14 0.002609 0.003181 0.003908 0.004925 0.006352 0.008357 0.011535
2025-12-21 0.002489 0.003049 0.003764 0.004773 0.006203 0.008236 0.011505
2025-12-28 0.002443 0.003012 0.003746 0.004793 0.006297 0.008472 0.012049
2026-01-04 0.002415 0.002997 0.003756 0.004851 0.006448 0.008800 0.012758
2026-01-11 0.002356 0.002938 0.003704 0.004819 0.006464 0.008921 0.013135
2026-01-18 0.002302 0.002886 0.003659 0.004794 0.006489 0.009056 0.013543
2026-01-25 0.002248 0.002831 0.003608 0.004759 0.006495 0.009161 0.013904
2026-02-01 0.002236 0.002833 0.003636 0.004840 0.006682 0.009562 0.014813
2026-02-08 0.002185 0.002780 0.003585 0.004802 0.006682 0.009657 0.015178
2026-02-15 0.002146 0.002743 0.003556 0.004794 0.006728 0.009831 0.015699
2026-02-22 0.002089 0.002679 0.003487 0.004724 0.006672 0.009830 0.015890